H5N1 statistics update

H5N1 Army

WHO reported some statistics of interest last week. Analysis of data in the Weekly Epidemiological Record includes 205 confirmed cases from December 2003 to 30 April 2006:

  • Half of the cases occurred in people under the age of 20 years; 90% of cases occurred in people under the age of 40 years.
  • The overall case-fatality rate was 56%. Case fatality was high in all age groups but was highest in persons aged 10 to 39 years.
  • The overall case-fatality rate was highest in 2004 (73%), followed by 63% to date in 2006, and 43% in 2005.
  • Cases have occurred all year round but have generally followed seasonal flu patterns, so an upsurge in cases could be anticipated starting in late 2006 or early 2007.

There were a lot of other interesting things that crossed my screen this week, but I’m working on a paper on the “roots of chemical and biological terrorism” and won’t be blogging much for at least the coming week. Later!

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